Analysis: The threshold for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is very high, and it is expected to cut rates only once in the second half of the year

By: rootdata|2026/03/18 16:42:00

According to Jin Shi reports, Russell Investments Senior Investment Strategist BeiChen Lin stated that the fundamentals of the U.S. economy remain solid, which means the threshold for further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve may be quite high. It is expected that there may be only one rate cut in the second half of this year, and there may not be any cuts until 2027.

Although energy prices may temporarily push up inflation, the balance in the labor market and suppressed housing inflation set a ceiling for inflationary pressures, making the likelihood of rate hikes this year low. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged this time, and any hints from Powell regarding the future path of interest rates will be crucial.

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